AQSH-ERON GEOSIYOSIY QARAMA-QARSHILIGI VA UNING GLOBAL IQTISODIYOTGA TA’SIRI: SANKSIYALAR, ENERGETIKA BOZORLARI VA HORMUZ BO’G’OZI XAVFSIZLIGI

Authors

  • Sultonov Suhrob Jahon iqtisodiyoti va diplomatiya universiteti Jahon iqtisodiyoti va xalqaro iqtisodiy munosabatlar fakulteti 1-kurs talabasi Author

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.20394108

Keywords:

US-Iran standoff, sanctions, JCPOA, Strait of Hormuz, oil exports, economic fragmentation, global energy security, Iranian rial, inflation

Abstract

This article systematically analyzes the impact of decades of geopolitical confrontation between the United States and Iran on the global economy. This confrontation, which began with the Iranian Revolution in 1979, entered a new phase with international sanctions since 2006, the JCPOA signed in 2015, and the US withdrawal from the agreement in 2018. The analysis is based on the latest statistical data from international organizations such as the IMF, the World Bank, the EIA, and UNCTAD, as well as academic studies by Laudati and Pesaran (2023), Farzanegan (2024), and others.

References

Anadolu Agency (2026) Explainer - Rising prices, falling currency: Iran's economy faces rocky road. Mavjud: https://www.aa.com.tr/en/economy/explainer-rising-prices-falling-currency-iran-s-economy-faces-rocky-road/3800027(Murojaat qilingan sana: 1-aprel 2026).

Brandeis University (2024) Iran After Trump. Crown Center for Middle East Studies, Middle East Brief No. 145. Mavjud: https://www.brandeis.edu/crown/publications/middle-east-briefs/pdfs/101-200/meb145.pdf (Murojaat qilingan sana: 3-aprel 2026).

Clingendael (2026) Sanctions without shock? United Nations snapback and Iran's oil exports. Mavjud: https://www.clingendael.org/publication/sanctions-without-shock-united-nations-snapback-and-irans-oil-exports(Murojaat qilingan sana: 3-aprel 2026).

EIA (2024) Country Analysis Brief: Iran. U.S. Energy Information Administration.

EIA (2025) Amid regional conflict, the Strait of Hormuz remains critical oil chokepoint. Mavjud: https://www.eia.gov/todayinenergy/detail.php?id=65504 (Murojaat qilingan sana: 1-aprel 2026).

Farzanegan, M.R. (2024) Sanctions and import substitution in Iran.

GIS Reports (2025) Iran's diminishing influence on oil markets. Mavjud: https://www.gisreportsonline.com/r/iran-oil-market-influence/ (Murojaat qilingan sana: 3-aprel 2026).

IEA (2020) World Energy Outlook 2020. Paris: International Energy Agency.

IEA (2023) World Energy Outlook 2023. Paris: International Energy Agency.

IMF (2021) World Economic Outlook. Washington, DC: International Monetary Fund.

IMF (2025a) World Economic Outlook, October 2025. Mavjud: https://www.imf.org/en/publications/weo/issues/2025/10/14/world-economic-outlook-october-2025 (Murojaat qilingan sana: 2-aprel 2026).

IMF (2025b) World Economic Outlook Update, January 2026. Mavjud: https://www.imf.org/en/publications/weo/issues/2026/01/19/world-economic-outlook-update-january-2026 (Murojaat qilingan sana: 3-aprel 2026).

Iran International (2024) Iran's oil exports drop amid China energy shift and Trump comeback. Mavjud: https://www.iranintl.com/en/202412032803 (Murojaat qilingan sana: 3-aprel 2026).

Kelishomi, A. (2022) Impact of sanctions on employment in Iran's manufacturing sector.

Laudati, D. and Pesaran, M.H. (2023) Identifying the effects of sanctions on the Iranian economy using newspaper coverage. Cambridge Working Papers in Economics No. 2155. Cambridge: University of Cambridge. Mavjud: https://www.econ.cam.ac.uk/publications/cwpe/2155 (Murojaat qilingan sana: 3-aprel 2026).

Middle East Eye (2026) How US sanctions and external threats destroyed Iran's economy. Mavjud: https://www.middleeasteye.net/news/how-us-sanctions-external-threats-destroyed-irans-economy (Murojaat qilingan sana: 3-aprel 2026).

NCBI (2024) The impact of economic sanctions on health and strategies for mitigation: A glance at the case of Iran. Mavjud: https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC12440346/ (Murojaat qilingan sana: 1-aprel 2026).

NPR (2026) Trump's sanctions on Iran have dramatically affected its economy and led to protests. Mavjud: https://www.npr.org/2026/02/23/nx-s1-5708935/trumps-sanctions-on-iran-have-dramatically-affected-its-economy-and-led-to-protests (Murojaat qilingan sana: 3-aprel 2026).

Open Magazine (2026) China's Kill Box - The Strait of Hormuz. Mavjud: https://openthemagazine.com/columns/chinas-kill-box-the-strait-of-hormuz (Murojaat qilingan sana: 3-aprel 2026).

Quincy Institute (2025) The economic dimensions of a better Iran deal. Mavjud: https://quincyinst.org/research/the-economic-dimensions-of-a-better-iran-deal/ (Murojaat qilingan sana: 1-aprel 2026).

SpeedCommerce (2026) What is shipped through the Strait of Hormuz? Mavjud: https://www.speedcommerce.com/insights/what-is-shipped-through-the-strait-of-hormuz/ (Murojaat qilingan sana: 3-aprel 2026).

Statista (2026) Quarter of maritime oil trade flows through Strait of Hormuz. Mavjud: https://www.statista.com/chart/35914/destination-maritime-crude-oil-strait-of-hormuz/ (Murojaat qilingan sana: 3-aprel 2026).

TradeImeX (2025) Iran oil export data 2024–25. Mavjud: https://www.tradeimex.in/blogs/iran-oil-export-data-by-country-and-production-stats (Murojaat qilingan sana: 3-aprel 2026).

UNCTAD (2024) Review of Maritime Transport 2024. Geneva: United Nations.

UNCTAD (2025) Maritime trade under pressure – growth set to stall in 2025. Mavjud: https://unctad.org/news/maritime-trade-under-pressure-growth-set-stall-2025 (Murojaat qilingan sana: 2-aprel 2026).

Visual Capitalist (2026) Charted: Oil trade through the Strait of Hormuz by country. Mavjud: https://www.visualcapitalist.com/charted-oil-trade-through-the-strait-of-hormuz-by-country/ (Murojaat qilingan sana: 3-aprel 2026).

Wikipedia (2026) Economic impact of the 2026 Iran war. Mavjud: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Economic_impact_of_the_2026_Iran_war (Murojaat qilingan sana: 3-aprel 2026).

World Bank (2022) Iran Economic Monitor. Washington, DC: World Bank.

World Bank (2024) Iran: Poverty and human capital. Mavjud: https://documents1.worldbank.org/curated/en/099110623175541902/pdf/P1777150fa1dcd02108b55086af5f3268f5.pdf(Murojaat qilingan sana: 2-aprel 2026).

Zoghi Behnam (2025) The impact of economic sanctions on Iran's export composition. Master’s thesis. Central European University. Mavjud: https://www.etd.ceu.edu/2025/zoghi_behnam.pdf (Murojaat qilingan sana: 3-aprel 2026).

Downloads

Published

2026-05-26

Issue

Section

Articles

How to Cite

Sultonov, S. (2026). AQSH-ERON GEOSIYOSIY QARAMA-QARSHILIGI VA UNING GLOBAL IQTISODIYOTGA TA’SIRI: SANKSIYALAR, ENERGETIKA BOZORLARI VA HORMUZ BO’G’OZI XAVFSIZLIGI. Pedagogy and Psychology in the Modern World, 5(12), 135-140. https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.20394108
Innovative Academy RSC
Article metrics Views and PDF downloads
1 Views
0 Downloads